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Repossession Trends 2003: Outlook for Trucks, Printing, and Construction Brightened, But Some Other Equipment Categories Took Hits

Nassau Asset Management Releases Results for 2003

ROSLYN HEIGHTS, N.Y., Feb. 17, 2003—Repossessions of trucks and trailers declined throughout all four quarters of 2003, signaling good news for the U.S. trucking industry, according to Nassau Asset Management's NasTrac Quarterly Index (NQI). In other positive economic trends, repossessions involving printing presses and construction equipment dropped off during the final three quarters. Still, 2003 was not a turnaround economic year for all types of equipment repossessions.

"Just as the overall economy strengthened in 2003, we noted significant improvements in three of the five top equipment repossession categories that we resell - trucks, printing presses, and construction. But 2003 was not completely rosy when you analyze repossessions of some other types of equipment," says Ed Castagna, senior vice president of Nassau Asset Management.

"While there were 46 percent fewer repossessions of machine tools overall in 2003, they had a roller-coaster year -- a very strong start followed by a weaker showing in the final three quarters. This may reflect the uneven recovery of the manufacturing industry as a whole. Members of the Turnaround Management Association, who are corporate renewal specialists, recently picked manufacturing as one of the industries that suffered the most during 2003," Castagna explains. "In addition, there were actually more repossessions of medical devices in 2003 than in 2002. This may have been due in part to continuing regulatory and insurance pressures on the industry."

Nassau Asset Management has tracked equipment for several decades as a function of its nationwide remarketing operation, which resells all types of assets including trucks, construction equipment, printing presses, machine tools, medical devices, and buses. The company in 2003 launched NQI, which reports on equipment types generating the greatest volume of liquidations.

NQI's public data provides a snapshot of recent recovery and sales activity compared with the same time frame a year before, helping equipment leasing and finance companies forecast current market conditions so they can evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of their portfolios. When viewed over time, NQI also can be leveraged as one of several components to help gauge the economic health of individual industry sectors.

Nassau clients can obtain more detailed information as part of the NQI service, including customized data on specific types of equipment and their values extending back to 2000.

Top Repossessions in 2003

The NQI 2003 year-end analysis reports on trucks/trailers, printing presses, medical devices, machine tools, and construction equipment. These were the top five repossessed capital assets in 2003, according to Nassau's internal records on liquidations.

Castagna says the 2003 data, when compared with 2002, indicates:

  • a 56 percent overall decrease in repossessions of trucks and trailers. Trucks and trailers were the only one of the five top equipment categories tracked that showed improvement over all four quarters. Other positive trends within the industry include the growth in commercial trucks sales over the latter part of 2003 and projected into 2004, according to the Truck Renting and Leasing Association (TRALA).
  • a 63 percent overall drop in repossessions of printing presses. Printing presses overcame a poor showing in Q1 2003 (up 141 percent compared with Q1 2002) to improve over the last three quarters of the year. This correlates with findings from the National Association of Printing Leadership (NAPL), which reported in November that the printing industry was "finally showing signs of what may be a sustainable upturn, following more than two years of steep and broad sales declines."
  • a 24 percent overall decline in repossessions of construction equipment. Construction equipment had a rough first quarter, (up 452 percent from Q1 2002) but improved over the final three quarters. Other signs of a strengthening construction industry include a U.S. Commerce Department report released Feb. 2 that showed construction spending in January rose for the seventh consecutive month.
  • a 16 percent overall increase in repossessions of medical devices, despite a strong first quarter (down 63 percent from Q1 2002). This may reflect a number of pressures within the industry. A 2003 survey of members of the Advanced Medical Technology Association (AdvaMed), for example, painted a picture of "a highly competitive industry that is increasing its focus on developing next-generation and breakthrough technologies. The findings also paint a picture of an industry that is encountering significant FDA regulatory hurdles in getting these advances approved as well as intense pressure to assure that their technologies are cost saving or cost effective."
  • a 46 percent overall decrease in repossessions of machine tools. Repossessions of machine tools dropped dramatically in Q1 (down 76 percent from Q1 2002), increased slightly by 4 percent in Q2 compared with the same timeframe the previous year, then jumped significantly during the final two quarters (up 83 percent from Q3 2002 and 52 percent from Q4 2002). Despite some positive news in the machine tool industry during 2003, including reports of increased demand in November, members of the Turnaround Management Association recently picked manufacturing as one of the industries that suffered the most during 2003.

Readers should keep in mind that the assets NQI covers may change from quarter to quarter since Nassau plans to feature only the largest asset groups in its multimillion dollar portfolio. Additionally, results must be viewed over several quarters to establish reliable trends since all industries experience cyclical changes.

To view NQI charts on repossessions as they are available, please visit the Web sites of equipment leasing and finance industry trade journals or contact Nassau.

ABOUT NASSAU

Nassau Asset Management of Roslyn Heights, NY, has been providing full-service asset management, including asset recovery, collections, remarketing, plant liquidations, and appraisals for more than 25 years to the equipment leasing and finance industry. For more information, please visit www.nasset.com or call 1-800-4.NASSAU.

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MEDIA CONTACTS:

Edward Castagna
Senior Executive Vice President
Nassau Asset Management
1-800.4.NASSAU, ext. 301
ecast@nasset.com

Carla Young Harrington

PR Agent for Nassau
540-899-3913
carla@crosslink.net

 


 

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